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Thread: Official New and Improved General Shiny Thread

  1. #926
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luneth777 View Post
    ^ Yeah. I posted this a little chart a while ago. I did the math for it in my stats class last May, and the math should be pretty accurate:

    100 SRs = 1.21335329% chance you've found a shiny
    500 SRs = 5.92131934%
    1000 SRs = 11.4920185%
    2000 SRs = 21.663372%
    3000 SRs = 30.6658318%
    4000 SRs = 38.6337272%
    5000 SRs = 45.6859506%
    6000 SRs = 51.9277312%
    7000 SRs = 57.4522052%
    8000 SRs = 62.3418056%
    8192 SRs = 63.2142072%
    9000 SRs = 66.6694923%
    10,000 SRs = 70.4998404%
    15,000 SRs = 83.9772687%
    20,000 SRs = 91.2974058%

    I feel bad for the people who get above 20k, that would be the RNG trolling... also at 7k. Hope this brings some hope again.
    Oh, now I remember that chart. Though is there a way to directly translate the amount of SR/RE/eggs to odds with MM, Shiny Charm and such? At this point though, my game is definitely trolling me at 12000+ RE's with shiny charm, as well as Shiny Lord and his two consecutive long hunts. As long as my hunt gets nowhere near the approximately 26000 SR's for Rayquaza, I'm happy.
    AC Dream Address: 4300 2225 3013 // Most Recent Shiny: Mienfoo // RU RMT



  2. #927

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    ...Man, just looking at that chart makes me reconsider bothering with my planned SR hunt of Moltres. I've never been one for SR, but those statistics just seem awful. Quite a shame the three legendary birds of Kanto aren't in the game with the Shiny Charm.
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  3. #928
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    Quote Originally Posted by ZombifiedHorror1031 View Post
    ...Man, just looking at that chart makes me reconsider bothering with my planned SR hunt of Moltres. I've never been one for SR, but those statistics just seem awful. Quite a shame the three legendary birds of Kanto aren't in the game with the Shiny Charm.
    I wouldn't look at it so negatively, since its appears more as a confidence booster if you're hunt is getting long. The odds are still 1/8192, but this represents that chance that a shiny will have appeared at certain numbers, and it takes statistics to understand, but there is a number of encounters and such where a hunt is nearly impossible to last. It has to do with standard deviations with respect to the mean, but again, more stats stuff. Basically, this says that there's a reasonable, though not 100% concrete boundary to how long a hunt will last.
    AC Dream Address: 4300 2225 3013 // Most Recent Shiny: Mienfoo // RU RMT



  4. #929

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    Oh gosh it's been forever since I thought about math... I know there is a way that you can apply it but I would have to go look through my old notes and all my high school stuff is very disorganized. Geez, Pokemon is trolling us so hard we're doing math. Masudaaaa. Good luck Gustavo.
    Shinies: ;663;

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  5. #930
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    All right, just got my sixth Shiny this month. Right after getting my Shiny Metang, I decided to MM a Shiny Snivy. It took more than my Litwick, which I need to reclaim because me dog decided she was going to chew the game it was in. The Litwick took 80 eggs exactly, and this took 126. It is male, like my Starter so it fits in perfectly as the head of my Shiny Team. Its Bold, which is okay I guess, and Likes to Run, which is the same as its father. I'm honestly surprised by it, since I've been hunting it on and off since I got my Metang. I haven't hatched any for a few days, and this was only the 11th today. Its funny. I was watching a live Shiny video on YouTube when it hatched.

    As far as the community hunt goes, I haven't decided whether to go for Kyurem (Which I'm most likely going to do) or go for a Piloswine, which would tie in with my Shiny Team.



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  6. #931
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    Wow, congrats on that Snivy! Hopefully we see more shinies show up today, especially for the community hunt.

    Quote Originally Posted by Luneth777 View Post
    Oh gosh it's been forever since I thought about math... I know there is a way that you can apply it but I would have to go look through my old notes and all my high school stuff is very disorganized. Geez, Pokemon is trolling us so hard we're doing math. Masudaaaa. Good luck Gustavo.
    Thanks anyway! Though constantly trying to apply the math to shinies does help me see what is feasible and what isn't, though that's because I'm a math guy.
    Hopefully I can see my third and final shiny of the month appear, so I can leave this cave. And as always, good luck everyone!
    AC Dream Address: 4300 2225 3013 // Most Recent Shiny: Mienfoo // RU RMT



  7. #932
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luneth777 View Post
    ^ Yeah. I posted this a little chart a while ago. I did the math for it in my stats class last May, and the math should be pretty accurate:

    100 SRs = 1.21335329% chance you've found a shiny
    500 SRs = 5.92131934%
    1000 SRs = 11.4920185%
    2000 SRs = 21.663372%
    3000 SRs = 30.6658318%
    4000 SRs = 38.6337272%
    5000 SRs = 45.6859506%
    6000 SRs = 51.9277312%
    7000 SRs = 57.4522052%
    8000 SRs = 62.3418056%
    8192 SRs = 63.2142072%
    9000 SRs = 66.6694923%
    10,000 SRs = 70.4998404%
    15,000 SRs = 83.9772687%
    20,000 SRs = 91.2974058%

    I feel bad for the people who get above 20k, that would be the RNG trolling... also at 7k. Hope this brings some hope again.
    Wow. My shiny Landorus hunt took 50k SRs... It seems like the chances of finding a shiny at that point were greater than a normal pokemon!
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  8. #933
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    That's a cool chart. But uhhh.... I don't think that only 3,000 SRs will give a 30% chance of find. I mean, my Charmander hunt says otherwise...


    Claimed Majora's Mask/Skull Kid | 3DSFC - 4811.7177.1372.Liam | Art by me, TIL Userbar by Astral Shadow

    Formerly: Chapter of Charizard

  9. #934
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    OHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!! I take it back!!! I just found a shiny Charmander!!!!!!!!! Hurahhhh!!! I completed the SR community hunt!!! YYYYYYYYYYYYYYAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAYYYYYYYYYYYYYY!!! (P.S. I would still want to trade for one cause I still want shinies!!! Especially Charmander!) Woohoo, Charmander hurrah!


    Claimed Majora's Mask/Skull Kid | 3DSFC - 4811.7177.1372.Liam | Art by me, TIL Userbar by Astral Shadow

    Formerly: Chapter of Charizard

  10. #935
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    i have a few shiny pokemon i have a shiny eevee shiny tepig and a shiny ditto in my white 2

  11. #936
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    i love shinny my first shiny was a onix. i was lucky it was in d/p

  12. #937
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    Am I the only one here who thinks certain shinies are starting to slowly lose value? We've got the shiny Haxorus, Gibble, Dratini, and the shiny charm all in one generation. I don't oppose the shiny charm, since it encourages people to continue to catch them all, but would special moves or something on the first three be better?

    I hope they don't make a habit of throwing these things around...
    Venemo Oscuridad - 6 Battles
    I believe in second chances. Blaziken, Infernape, and Emboar were once fire starters, but now they're fire fighters! They're heroes!

  13. #938
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    Congrats on finally getting that Charmander, and on the last day of the month, too!

    Quote Originally Posted by Zachmac View Post
    Am I the only one here who thinks certain shinies are starting to slowly lose value? We've got the shiny Haxorus, Gibble, Dratini, and the shiny charm all in one generation. I don't oppose the shiny charm, since it encourages people to continue to catch them all, but would special moves or something on the first three be better?

    I hope they don't make a habit of throwing these things around...
    I'll admit it will quickly be too excessive if this becomes a habit in the future, and three different shinies, all Dragon type, is probably a bit much (1 would be okay, maybe). And personal value is big factor, I think, though to prevent conflict and to not break a thread rule, I won't go into much depth there. No one is stopping people from hunting these three shinies, because it might feel more special getting their own, but just having them does draw some away from those hunts. I personally like that Gyarados isn't the only in-game shiny like that, but too many new ones have definitely been added in such a short span of time.

    Quick update: 12456 RE's in Chargestone Cave. I didn't need convincing of the fact before, but my game seems to want to prove that Shiny Charm does not equal shorter hunts all the time. :/
    AC Dream Address: 4300 2225 3013 // Most Recent Shiny: Mienfoo // RU RMT



  14. #939
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    Value of a shiny is very subjective, so it would be preferable if we just avoid the topic altogether. In the past it just led to pointless arguments where there is no "right" answer.
    Pearl BQ: 1.2.3.4.
    SS BQ: 1.2.3.

  15. #940

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    15,500 RE now at Chargestone Cave! Ugh!
    Current Hunts


    Heart Gold Badge Quest
    1. Shiny Bellsprout- Found on June 27, 2013
    2. Shiny Unkown A- Found on July 1st, 2013
    3. Shiny Nidoran Male- Found on July 25 2013
    4. Shiny Spinrak- Found on July 26 2013
    5. Shiny Spearow- Found on July 28th 2013
    6. Shiny Psyduck- Found on July 28th 2013
    7. Shiny Noctowl- Found on Oct 2nd 2013
    8. Shiny Diglett- Found on August 9th 2014

    White 2 Badge Quest- Completed on December 29th 2012!
    1. Shiny Tepig
    2.Shiny Growlithe-7595 RE
    3. Shiny Rattata-4,815 RE
    4.Shiny Yamask-16,772 RE
    5.Shiny Combee(Male)- 19,823 RE
    6. Shiny Zebstrika- 2,025 RE
    7. Shiny Zangoose- 2,582 RE
    8. Shiny Swablu- 12,264 RE

  16. #941
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    LOL, So for my MM Duskull I have a box with 13 going on 14 duskulls. Prob is they each represent a full box of duskulls XD (I keep the best one of each 30: Nature and "Superior" IV) No Shiny yet though =/ Free Duskulls however, PM me
    X FC: 1006 0385 8652 IGN: Mr.Brightside
    Check Out my Trade Shop for things like HA pokemon, BP Items, or 5IV pokemon =D

    http://www.serebiiforums.com/showthr...item-needs!%29

  17. #942
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    HOLY CRAP GUYS! I CANNOT BELIEVE THIS!! So a few months ago I decided to restart my HG file and SR for a shiny starter, but once school started up, I gave up on my hunt and decided to hunt a little in Pokemon Black... well, a few days ago I decided I'd go back to my SR hunt for the sake of this community hunt...

    and lo and behold! I got myself a SHINY CHIKORITA! His name is Robin, and he has a Hardy nature! Will post a pic of him after I stop jumping for joy. Really love how adorable a golden Chikorita is! Will most definitely pursue a badge quest!

    My shiny Pokemon:


    -- Zira -- Florence -- Trick -- Brimstone -- Fleece -- Robin -- Horace --


    Heart Gold FC: 0948-7530-2951

    Pokemon Black FC: 2924-4380-1565

    Pokemon Y FC: 1547-5454-3033 (Sunkern, Swadloon in safari)

  18. #943
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    Quote Originally Posted by Demysta View Post
    HOLY CRAP GUYS! I CANNOT BELIEVE THIS!! So a few months ago I decided to restart my HG file and SR for a shiny starter, but once school started up, I gave up on my hunt and decided to hunt a little in Pokemon Black... well, a few days ago I decided I'd go back to my SR hunt for the sake of this community hunt...

    and lo and behold! I got myself a SHINY CHIKORITA! His name is Robin, and he has a Hardy nature! Will post a pic of him after I stop jumping for joy. Really love how adorable a golden Chikorita is! Will most definitely pursue a badge quest!
    Thumbs up to you. Still no luck on my part. My last shiny was Walrein, and that was months ago.

    Credit goes to Dragonitor for this user bar.
    Current Shinies
    MM: "Tyrunt" "Noibat"
    Current MM Hunt: Klefki

    RE: None
    FS: Bergmite
    Future FS: None planned atm

    SR: Fennekin
    Future SR:
    CF:

    Ready to start hunting!

    For great emphasis(because no one seems to read this part):NONE OF MY SHINIES ARE FOR TRADE. I only hunt for my shinies at the moment.

    My code for 3DS/XY: 2406-5350-1882

  19. #944
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dangertrout View Post
    Value of a shiny is very subjective, so it would be preferable if we just avoid the topic altogether. In the past it just led to pointless arguments where there is no "right" answer.
    Well, I suppose that 100% chance of being shiny still messes with the chance of finding it as a shiny....perhaps the first post should just be edited to say no debate over the value of a shiny period?
    Venemo Oscuridad - 6 Battles
    I believe in second chances. Blaziken, Infernape, and Emboar were once fire starters, but now they're fire fighters! They're heroes!

  20. #945
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    Current Community Hunt:
    December = Let It Snow! -> Obtain any Ice type via SR, RE, or MM
    *To ensure your name is entered in the list below, please mark "community hunt complete" in your post when you get it


    @ Zachmac, it's already there: "*No discussion on the VALUE of a pokemon obtained with the Shining Charm or any other method that reduces the odds of obtaining a shiny. "
    Last edited by Dangertrout; 1st December 2012 at 5:55 AM.
    Pearl BQ: 1.2.3.4.
    SS BQ: 1.2.3.

  21. #946
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    Alrighty! Here's a pic of Robin I can't get my photobucket to work so an attachment will have to do >.<
    Funny thing is... he finally appeared when my ID number was 32000! Guess it was lucky XD

    EDIT: Don't worry ShinyBlackWhite, we all get our shiny droughts. Before this Chikorita my last shiny was in September, I believe. D: Just keep on trying! Something has to give up and shine eventually.
    Attached Images Attached Images
    Last edited by Demysta; 1st December 2012 at 5:56 AM.

    My shiny Pokemon:


    -- Zira -- Florence -- Trick -- Brimstone -- Fleece -- Robin -- Horace --


    Heart Gold FC: 0948-7530-2951

    Pokemon Black FC: 2924-4380-1565

    Pokemon Y FC: 1547-5454-3033 (Sunkern, Swadloon in safari)

  22. #947
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    @ Zachmac, it's already there: "*No discussion on the VALUE of a pokemon obtained with the Shining Charm or any other method that reduces the odds of obtaining a shiny. "
    I know, but saying that makes it sound like you're only talking about MMing and the shiny charm.

    100% doesn't scream "reduced odds", even if it technically is.
    Venemo Oscuridad - 6 Battles
    I believe in second chances. Blaziken, Infernape, and Emboar were once fire starters, but now they're fire fighters! They're heroes!

  23. #948
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    Shiny Charm obtained, just in time for the community hunt. Now to hunker down on homework before I get started.

  24. #949
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    Stopping tonight at 11,200 encounters. Hoping for some luck tomorrow. Really wanting heatmor, girafarig or golduck to shine soon

  25. #950
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    Quote Originally Posted by Demysta View Post
    HOLY CRAP GUYS! I CANNOT BELIEVE THIS!! So a few months ago I decided to restart my HG file and SR for a shiny starter, but once school started up, I gave up on my hunt and decided to hunt a little in Pokemon Black... well, a few days ago I decided I'd go back to my SR hunt for the sake of this community hunt...

    and lo and behold! I got myself a SHINY CHIKORITA! His name is Robin, and he has a Hardy nature! Will post a pic of him after I stop jumping for joy. Really love how adorable a golden Chikorita is! Will most definitely pursue a badge quest!
    congratz!!!

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