Foreign Policy: Robert Zaretsky: France’s Forgotten War
Foreign Policy: Gayle Lemmon: The Angst in Foggy Bottom
The maelstrom over Syria has sucked in Sunnis and Shiites, Arabs and Chechens, alike, with Russia’s oligarchs sidelined, so threatening those Benghazi whistleblowers’ careers might be all that these officials can do. Their fellow bureaucrats are none too happy, in any case, and it might not be long before Al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb resurfaces. Charles de Gaulle, the man behind France’s current constitutional framework, once declared that overseas grandeur was a vital component of France’s self-perception, since the general public would otherwise break down into quarrel after quarrel after quarrel. In one way or another, his successors ended up following that dictum, rallying both voters and elites. Francois Hollande was supposed to break this trend in favor of concerns purely inside the country itself, but that intervention in Mali pretty much blew that pronouncement out of the water, such as it was. The Sharia sheikhdoms – including the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Kuwait – have gone shopping throughout Paris in the recent past… to no avail, which would pretty much give France’s elites an incentive to protect themselves and their compatriots. Ironically, this very taste for adventurism may have impelled Jacques Chirac to continue assisting that Oil-for-Food fiasco alongside Russia’s Vladimir Putin in the years leading up to Operation Iraqi Freedom, and between Cardinal Armand Jean Richelieu’s constant manipulations throughout the Thirty Years’ War and this, the outrage of both those sheikhs and Islamic terrorists worldwide should prove ever starker. The National Movement for the Liberation of Azawad, for its part, is standing about the territory that it claimed, which can’t be good for the blood pressure of many an employee at the State Department. Qatar itself has statements that Syrian Alawite leader Bashar Assad really did use chemical weapons against the jihad groups staying in front of and competing within the Syrian opposition, but new Secretary of State John Kerry’s team didn’t have the talking points in order for a closed-door briefing for Congress just yet. Officials closest to Syria believe that we should’ve jumped in a long time ago, with one official accusing the Obama administration of “borderline isolationism” and seeing an “extremely problematic” precedent for Turkey and those aforementioned Sharia sheikhdoms, a sentiment that David Goldman might easily question. Other officials across Foggy Bottom have to be biting their nails at other preparations coming from the other side of Eurasia.:
Foreign Policy: John Garnaut: Xi’s War Drums
Irrawaddy: Saw Yan Naing: Report: China Sells Helicopter Gunships to UWSA
Pearl Harbor has a daily routine in which military experts analyze streams of overnight intelligence reports of the warships patrolling the waters under the jurisdiction of the United States Pacific Command, covering anything emanating from Hollywood to Bollywood, but invariably focusing on the People’s Liberation Army because it’s at the center of every maritime dispute in East Asia. President Xi Jinping and his cronies want to test their strengths and build a fighting force that can and will outmatch the Pacific Fleet, but there is a growing consensus that the military can only be either capable or loyal. This group has built contacts with the rest of the Chinese Communist Party, to the point that it has a missile designed to destroy an aircraft carrier in one shot, known as the East Wind 21-D. One might’ve expected the PLA’s various units to coordinate quite closely, but to go by the patronage networks and the siphoned money flows, that’s not the case. Corruption combined with a booming market under over three decades of peace and opaque administrative guidelines to corrode the PLA, and that’s not even mentioning a certain rival to Xi within the CCP. Xi’s associates believe that he shares these concerns, which is why he wants to focus on probing the various networks to see which commanders will be most likely to stand with him in readiness for combat, using separation of horses and mules as a point of comparison. Deng Xiaoping taught this model by mobilizing to attack Vietnam back in 1979, then appointing top military posts until officers strictly loyal to him occupied most, if not all, of said posts. The Congressional Research Service reports that China is set to triple its fleet of maritime strike aircraft by this decade’s end and has already quadrupled its modern submarine fleet, including subs capable of carrying ballistic missiles armed with nuclear warheads. The cyberwarfare of Unit 61398 should speak for itself, and the ballistic missile stock includes missiles that can destroy satellites in space. The recent showdown over the Senkakus was Xi’s first perceived opportunity to orchestrate this mobilization, which could also function as an eerily convenient diversion right in the middle of a certain jihad attack in Libya. The remaining three months of 2012 saw a roughly daily pattern of a Chinese flyby toward the archipelago, failure by the Japanese to make radio contact leading to scrambled fighter jets, and a change in direction at the 28th parallel. However, a twin-propeller plane broke the pattern on December 13 by flying to photograph the largest disputed island. Three days later, Shinzo Abe won a landslide victory and immediately vowed to loosen engagement rules to allow Japanese vessels to approach much closer to Chinese ones. There were additional incidents leading up to Inauguration Day, which we still didn’t know, and at the start of February, Xi revealed that the lesson he learned from the Soviet Union’s downfall was that the military and the regime should remain connected to prevent the emergence of any internal threats. The consequence was to persuade us more and more that domestic insecurity is driving China’s current provocations, even to the point that Japan could win in a one-on-one brawl without American backup. These new helicopter deliveries to the United Wa State Army could be a different story, given my recollections from late January. The deliveries occurred between late February and early March, with confirmation from government and ethnic minority sources, and they were Mi-17 transport helicopters armed with air-to-air missiles. It’s sounding like the Burmese intend to launch a major offensive soon enough since they’ve reinforced their garrisons to take out the UWSA’s capabilities, which include estimates of “20,000 well-equipped fighters” and advanced weapons such as surface-to-air missiles. With the above inspections in mind, these sales are either some corrupt PLA commander’s last-ditch effort to rake in a few yuan before permanent silence or a probe by Xi or one of his cronies into a prospective new front against any external enemies, real or unreal. Neither the despondent depravity of the Caucasus Emirate nor the breakdown of the Muslim Brotherhood will need any further contrasts in light of such activities.:
Ahram: Declarations of war: Islamist vs. private media in Egypt
Reuters: Malaysia’s “class war” fuels opposition election hopes
Between the Harlem Shake a few weeks ago and the rage shared by the House of Saud and the global Wahhabi, or Salafi, coalition, I can only wonder how furtive the Muslim Brotherhood, especially the Guidance Office, including Khairat Al-Shater and President Muhammad Morsi, must end up being. Muslim Brotherhood sympathizers have clashed repeatedly with opposition figures on Egypt’s airwaves, frustrating more than a few Egyptians to the point that at least one now favors watching cartoons with his children, among other activities. Secular talk show hosts have lectures criticizing and mocking the Muslim Brotherhood as well as authorities at various levels of Egyptian society, with some even urging the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces to step back in. Sharia-friendly talk show hosts have responded by questioning the patriotic credentials of their opponents or accusing said opponents of atheism. Some believe themselves the targets of systematic campaigns to shut them down, citing 24 legal complaints against journalists and television hosts for insults to Morsi’s position during his first 200 days, unlike 14 cases for similar charges in the past century. Islamists are continuing to threaten journalists with violence, image distortion, and legal action. Interestingly enough, these private media hosts pounced during a presidential visit to… Sudan, the same country with those exterminations in Darfur. Egypt 25, owned by the Muslim Brotherhood, pointed to unofficial connections with Hosni Mubarak as the cause of plenty of said talk show hosts’ recalcitrance against the agenda of traditional tribalism through Sharia supremacy, then went on to cite views about, say, the Egyptian Communist Party. In addition, the Muslim Brotherhood has its own cyberwarfare teams attempting to tilt Internet influence toward them, to the extent that it considers perpetual Internet imagery its top priority. Oddly, others attempting to straddle the balance “face great difficulties finding Brotherhood sources”, with some refusing to give their names or declining interviews altogether. The Guidance Office should and will have a framework for additional coordination with the Pan-Malaysian Islamic Party, but given the status of Egypt’s market, any future plans involving Sharia finance might apply only for Malaysia’s implementation. Interestingly, if Prime Minister Najib Razak wanted to turn himself into his country’s version of Vladimir Putin, then whoever’s bankrolling his current campaign will have more than a few ironies to wrestle leading into this weekend. The Malaysian oligarchs are facing criticism from younger Malays and other ethnic minorities for instigating favoritism between themselves and the United Malays National Organization, which fused Islam with Malay nationalism, and it’s the Pan-Malaysian Islamic Party that’s been pushed into alignment with these poor masses. We can call it affirmative action, Malaysia-style, but certain entrepreneurs – who apparently happen to be Christian, as well – have, well, packed their bags already. One Syed Mokhtar Bukhary, on the other hand, denies such connections, insisting on fair play during his monopoly on sugar and rice. The UMNO has set up ties with several companies linked to rail construction, according to a recent Reuters survey, but the PMIP and its partner groups are seeing upticks in support from younger workers returning to their villages to inform their relatives about this pending collision. Analysts are predicting a weakened position for the UMNO, but a sentiment expressed toward the start of this year might work eerily well for anyone caught between these factions: “What difference, at this point, does it make?”. To think that a slightly different manifestation of this phenomenon may be occurring within Europe at this time.:
British Broadcasting Corporation: Jobbik rally against World Jewish Congress in Budapest
The event happened several hours ago as of this message, and the message looks to be accelerating throughout other parts of Europe. One might think that Jobbik is mimicking Golden Dawn in regularly accusing Jews of undermining Hungary, but one of its main sources of money and support could add a familiar wrinkle to its emergence. Its territorial claims have alienated even other likeminded groups, so its leaders turned to Iran to the point of asking the Islamic Revolutionary Guards to help it monitor parliamentary elections about three years ago. Indeed, one of those leaders has a close relationship with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, which could need an update if Supreme Ayatollah Ali Khamenei manages to reassert his claim to exclusive mediation with the Hidden Imam, to go by what I’ve been hearing over there. Naturally speaking, the World Jewish Congress wants to protest this, which is why it placed its conference for this year in Hungary’s capital. Between Israel’s new energy fields and the Sunni-Shiite fault line, the anti-Semites in Jobbik and Iran might very well have that as their only recourse left. I’m certain that Congress will have plenty of incentives to stay on top of this final convergence.
Last edited by ccangelopearl1362; 5th May 2013 at 8:28 PM.
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